Axiom Scoping call →
AI Diligence // for M&A buy-side

You're buying the AI story. We price the AI reality.

Every target now has an AI narrative. Almost none of them have been diligenced. We score the AI a company actually runs — how it operates, what it sells, and whether its market survives — across eight weighted domains, and convert every finding into a deal term: a number, a verdict, a decision.

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The confirmatory assessment — the actual product, not a mockup.
3+1
AI surfaces + financial base
8
Weighted domains
14
Red-flag triggers
Days
Not weeks
01 // The scope, and the deal

AI is the unowned scope. We run it across the whole deal.

Five diligence scopes are already owned — Commercial, Financial, Operational, Technology, Legal. AI is the white space, and it moves the return more than any of them. This is the instrument: the gap sits at the center, and the sweep runs it gate by gate, screen to exit.

AI ScreenFlash LOIscope ConfirmatoryAssessment SPA→ terms 100-Day→ plan HoldPortfolio ExitPortfolio START AT the gap AI · unowned → run it
CommercialFinancialOperationalTechnologyLegalAI · unowned
02 // The surfaces

AI hits a target three ways — and all three land in the financials.

A company can run brilliantly on AI, sell a product whose AI claims collapse under scrutiny, and sit in a market about to be disrupted. Three surfaces, each re-pricing the deal differently — all underpinned by one: their financial impact.

Operational AI

How they run it

The AI inside the business — a margin and efficiency lever, or a fragile dependency with no fallback.

— Cost & margin impact
— Dependency & concentration
— Fallback & resilience
▲ Red flag  Critical processes automated with no manual fallback.
Product AI

What they sell

The AI in the offering — defensible, model-backed growth, or claims outrunning the model.

— Growth attributable to AI
— Model & data moat
— AI-washing exposure
▲ Red flag  Revenue attributed to AI the usage data won't support.
Market AI

The market they're in

The AI reshaping the category over the hold — positioned to ride it, or disintermediated before exit.

— Disruption trajectory
— Competitive displacement
— Exit-multiple risk
▲ Red flag  A funded AI-native entrant compressing the exit multiple.
Financial AI impact — the foundation

What it does to the numbers

The through-line. Operational efficiency, product growth, and market position all resolve here — in EBITDA, cash, and enterprise value. This is the surface where AI capability and AI risk become money.

— EBITDA & margin bridge
— AI cost base · compute, licensing, model spend
— Revenue quality & durability
— Valuation & multiple exposure
▲ Red flagAI compute and licensing costs scaling faster than the revenue they support.
Underpins Operational · Product · Market — every surface lands here
03 // What we catch

The patterns that quietly kill returns.

Named AI failure modes — the ones a generalist workstream misses because it isn't looking for them. Each maps to one of the fourteen red-flag triggers.

AI-washing

not in the product

Thin wrapper

no moat over a model

Model concentration

one provider, no fallback

Data-rights gap

can't prove ownership

Shadow AI

ungoverned, invisible

Regulatory exposure

EU AI Act unmapped

Liability surface

wrong answer is costly

Talent single-point

capability that can walk

Each pattern → a trigger → a capped score and a priced impairment. Nothing gets waved through on a strong average.
04 // Build → place → prove

How the score is made, judged, and defended.

One flow, three moves. Eight weighted domains build the composite (S = Σ wᵢ·sᵢ), with 14 red-flag triggers that can cap it; the banded scale places 2.4 against the 3.6 sector baseline; and provenance proves it — every number drilling to its source.

Market w 15% · s 2.6 Strategic w 15% · s 2.2 Operational w 12% · s 2.9 Technology w 12% · s 1.9 People w 12% · s 2.4 Data w 12% · s 2.5 Ethical w 12% · s 2.3 Financial w 10% · s 2.4 3.6 2.4 SIGNIFICANT RISK System logs Vendor contracts Usage samples Model cards BUILD8 weighted domains PLACEvs 3.6 baseline PROVEdrills to source weights in → composite on the banded scale → provenance out · attested sha-256 4f9c…a71b
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The same eight domains, live in the app — every score drilling to its evidence.
05 // What it's worth

We price the finding. Then we bank it in the terms.

The value engine translates AI capability into six drivers of enterprise value, so a finding lands as a number — and that number lands in the deal as price, structure, or a walk. An Impairment finding is the overpayment you don't make.

Y = A · F(K, L)
Value coefficient
Priced across six drivers
Revenue reachGross marginOpexWorking capitalTreasury & taxMarket reach
Finding
Value at risk
Deal term
Product-AI growth the usage data won't support
Revenue reach
$6.2M
Price reduction · revised operating model
Critical process automated with no fallback
Opex · continuity
$3.1M
Escrow / holdback · 100-day remediation
Training-data rights the company can't prove
Gross margin · moat
$4.4M
Specific reps & warranties · indemnity
Market disruption trajectory over the hold
Market reach · multiple
$5.0M
Revised hold thesis · earnout
A fatal red-flag trigger fires
Circuit breaker · unpriceable
Walk
Total value at risk identified
$18.7M
— the overpayment you don't make
06 // The upside

Every risk is also a lever. We price that too.

The same finding that costs you at entry can pay you over the hold. An AI-specific fix does two things: it remediates the value at risk, and it creates new value on top — margin, revenue, operating leverage. We price both, and hand you the value-creation play.

Section 05 — value at risk
Protects the entry price · defense
Section 06 — the upside
Builds the exit · offense
The AI fix
Value created — remediate + create
Value-creation play
Operational AIAdd a fallback, then optimize the process automation
$7.9M
$3.1M remediated + $4.8M created · +2.4 pts gross margin
100-day: harden the fallback, then extend automation — a named margin lever in the VCP
Product AIRe-base the product AI on owned data & models
$11.7M
$6.2M remediated + $5.5M created · durable, defensible revenue
Reposition the growth thesis on real AI — repricing the exit story
Market AISecure the data rights, formalize the moat
$7.6M
$4.4M remediated + $3.2M created · +1.6 pts pricing power
Lock the moat pre-close — underpins hold-period margin
Value-creation potential identified
$27.2M
— priced into the plan, before you own it
Remediation — value at risk removedCreation — new margin, revenue, leverage
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Value creation, tracked across every holding — scored at entry, re-scored over the hold.
07 // The crosswalk

Every surface. Every workstream. The full matrix.

We assess the AI dimension of all five diligence workstreams across all four surfaces — nothing sampled, nothing skipped. Where you already run a workstream, we plug into it; the shading marks where each surface carries the most weight.

AI surface ↓   Workstream → CommercialFinancialOperationalTechnologyLegal
Operational AI
Product AI
Market AI
Financial impact the base
● every surface is assessed against every workstream  ·  shaded = where that surface carries the most weight. The financial base lands in all five.
08 // The product

Not a static readout. Live intelligence you interrogate.

Delivered as three AI-native applications on the Diligence360 engine. Filter to your thesis, drill from a score into the evidence, and move from the whole fund down to a single model.

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Per-deal

Assessment

Gate · Confirmatory diligence

The deep interactive read — surfaces, value, risk, evidence. Ask Copilot anything.

Open the app
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Screen

Flash

Gate · Pre-LOI screen

The one-glance verdict for a fast pre-LOI go / no-go.

Open the app
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Fund

Portfolio

Gate · Hold & exit

Every holding on one panel, benchmarked on a common coordinate system.

Open the app
09 // How it works

Your data never moves. The compute comes to it.

Diligence usually means shipping a target's data out to whoever is analyzing it. We invert that: the engine crosses into the target's environment, works in an isolated clean room, and only governed findings ever come back — sized to the confirmatory window.

TARGET ENVIRONMENT — THE DATA STAYS WHERE IT ALREADY LIVES THE PERIMETER Axiom THE ENGINE stays outside System logs Vendor contracts Usage samples Model cards SOURCES · AT REST CLEAN ROOM isolated · scoped to this engagement · destroyed on close Analysis in place the models run against the data where it sits nothing is copied out to analyze it COMPUTE CROSSES IN — THE ENGINE AND THE QUESTIONS FINDINGS, SCORES, EVIDENCE REFERENCES CROSS OUT RAW DATA · PII · MODEL TRAINING NEVER CROSSES
Crosses in

The engine and the questions. Models and analysis are sent to the data — sized to the confirmatory window.

Crosses out

Findings, scores, evidence references. Governed results only — each one traceable back to its source.

Never crosses

Raw data, PII, model training. The target's data is never copied out and never used to train any model.

Clean room · isolated, engagement-scoped
No training on target data · ever
Deleted on close · on request
10 // One finding, end to end

One finding pays for the engagement.

Trace a single finding from a surface to a signed term — and to $6.2M of value at risk. Then set that one number against the fee: the engagement is sized to your window and priced against the overpayment it prevents, so it typically returns on a single finding.

SURFACE DOMAIN TRIGGER 07 SCORE VALUE TERM ! 1.8 Product AI Technology Revenue AI can’t support Product 1.8 · caps $6.2M impairment Price chip + earnout
↓ that one finding, against the bill
That single finding is worth more than the entire engagement.
This one finding · value at risk
$6.2M
Full engagement fee
a fraction
One finding. Many times the fee. And a real diligence surfaces several — so the engagement pays for itself before the confirmatory window even closes.
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The pre-LOI screen — where a $6.2M finding first surfaces, in days.
11 // Who it's for

Built for the buy-side. Read by both sides of the table.

Three parties, one deal, one evidence base — each entering at a different gate with a different question.

ONE EVIDENCE BASE The AI read scored · sourced · attested same facts, whichever seat you hold PRIMARY PE buy-side Pressure-test the thesis before capital commits. Converts to price, structure, and the 100-day plan. “WHAT AM I BUYING?” PRICE · TERMS · WALK ALSO Sell-side Answer the question first, before the buyer asks it. Defends the AI story inside the data room. “WHAT WILL THEY FIND?” A DEFENSIBLE ANSWER ALSO Lenders Underwrite the AI dependency behind the cash flows. “WHAT AM I FINANCING?” RISK TO THE CASH FLOWS — BOTH SIDES OF THE TABLE, READING THE SAME FACTS —
The engine doesn't take a side. It produces one sourced, attested read — and each seat at the table asks it a different question.
SCREEN LOI CONFIRMATORY SPA 100-DAY HOLD EXIT THE DEAL CLOCK PE BUY-SIDE Flash Assessment Portfolio SELL-SIDE Flash Assessment LENDERS Assessment ENGAGES SAME ENGINE · DIFFERENT ENTRY POINT · DIFFERENT APP
12 // Engagement tiers

Three ways in. Each one includes the last.

Buy the depth the gate calls for. Screen a target in days, run the full confirmatory read when the deal is real, then keep the whole fund scored over the hold. Every tier includes named SME hours — the engine does the sweep, people do the judgment.

SCOPE — AND SME TIME — ESCALATE WITH THE DEAL GATE · PRE-LOI SCREEN Flash Screen Days, not weeks DEPTH OF READ ≈ 10 SME HRS Fixed fee · per target App · Flash GATE · CONFIRMATORY Confirmatory Assessment Sized to your window Everything in Screen, plus the full 8-domain read and evidence. DEPTH OF READ ≈ 70 SME HRS Fixed fee · per deal App · Assessment GATE · HOLD & EXIT Portfolio Intelligence Continuous, across the fund Everything in Assessment, for every holding — re-scored over time. DEPTH OF READ ≈ 15 SME HRS / HOLDING / QTR Annual subscription · per fund App · Portfolio
The people on it

No finding reaches your investment committee without a human SME standing behind it. The hours below are included in the fee — not billed on top.

Flash Screen≈ 10SME hours
  • Scope the target and set the trigger thresholds
  • Validate what the engine flags — no unreviewed output
  • Write the screen memo: proceed, price, or pass
  • 30-minute readout with the deal team
Confirmatory Assessment≈ 70SME hours
  • Stand up the clean room and scope the connectors
  • 3–5 management and technical interviews
  • Human validation of every finding and its evidence
  • Findings → terms working session with the deal team
  • IC-ready readout and 100-day plan input
Portfolio Intelligence≈ 15SME hours / holding / quarter
  • Quarterly re-score review with the operating partner
  • Calibrate benchmarks as the sector baseline moves
  • Track the value-creation plan against the original thesis
  • Annual deep-dive per holding
What you get
Flash
Assessment
Portfolio
8-domain weighted composite score
14 red-flag triggers / circuit breakers
Three AI surfaces + financial foundation
Value at risk, quantified
Findings → deal terms conversion
Upside / value-creation plan
Evidence drill-through + attestation
Copilot — interrogate the read
Benchmark vs sector baseline
Fund-wide portfolio benchmarking
Hold-period re-scoring & monitoring
SME time — included in the fee
Named engagement lead
Management & technical interviews
Evidence validation by a human SME
Findings → terms working session
IC-ready readout
Quarterly re-score review
Fee basis
Per target
Per deal
Per fund / yr
IncludedHeadline levelNot includedFlash fee credits toward the Assessment if you proceed past LOI.

Don't sign for AI you haven't seen.

Start with a scoping call. We'll score the AI behind your target — how it operates, what it sells, what it's worth — and hand your deal team the price, the terms, or the walk.

Book a scoping call →
AI Diligence // PE buy-side

Price the AI. Or overpay for it.

The target has an AI story. Your model has a number. Nobody in the process has checked whether they match. We score the AI a target actually runs — across eight weighted domains — and convert every finding into price, structure, or a walk, inside your confirmatory window.

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The confirmatory assessment — the actual product, not a mockup.
01 // The exposure

Four surfaces. One unowned scope area.

Commercial, financial, operational, technology, legal — all scoped, all owned. The AI a target runs is scoped by no one. We read it across three surfaces, all resting on a financial foundation that turns every finding into a number.

SURFACE 01 Operational AI how the company runs on AI SURFACE 02 Product AI what the company sells as AI SURFACE 03 Market AI whether the market gets rebuilt THE FOUNDATION Financial AI impact every finding, priced EBITDA · cash · enterprise value
Operational — why it matters

Automation with no fallback is opex you can't hold and a 100-day fire you inherit on day one.

Product — why it matters

AI revenue the usage data won't support is a multiple you're paying on air.

Market — why it matters

The moat has to survive your hold period — not just their pitch.

Financial — why it matters

This is the surface that converts a finding into price, structure, or a walk.

02 // The price bridge

Every finding is a step down in what you should pay.

We quantify each finding against the six drivers of enterprise value, then walk your entry price down to one you can defend in the investment committee. An impairment finding is the overpayment you don't make.

$120.0M ENTRY PRICE −$6.2M Product-AI growth −$3.1M No fallback −$4.4M Data rights −$5.0M Market disruption $101.3M DEFENSIBLE PRICE EVERY FINDING IS A STEP DOWN IN WHAT YOU SHOULD PAY −$18.7M · the overpayment you don't make
Finding
Value at risk
What it becomes
Product-AI growth the usage data won't support
$6.2M
Price reduction · revised operating model
Critical process automated with no fallback
$3.1M
Escrow / holdback · 100-day remediation
Training-data rights the company can't prove
$4.4M
Specific reps & warranties · indemnity
Market disruption trajectory over the hold
$5.0M
Revised hold thesis · earnout
Total value at risk
$18.7M
— the overpayment you don't make
03 // How you buy it

Screen fast. Then go deep when the deal is real.

Pre-LOI

Flash Screen

A go/no-go read before you commit the diligence budget.

≈ 10
SME hours included
  • Composite score and red-flag triggers
  • Human validation of every flag
  • Screen memo: proceed, price, or pass
  • Days, not weeks
Confirmatory

Full Assessment

The IC-defensible read, sized to your window.

≈ 70
SME hours included
  • All eight weighted domains, evidence-linked
  • Management and technical interviews
  • Findings → terms working session
  • IC readout and 100-day plan input

Don't sign for AI you haven't seen.

Bring us the target. We'll tell you what the AI is really worth — and hand your deal team the price, the terms, or the walk.

Book a scoping call →
AI Diligence // sell-side

They will find it. Better that you find it first.

Every serious buyer is about to diligence your AI — and an unanswered AI question becomes a price chip in their hands. We run the buy-side read on you, before they do, so the answer is already in the data room when they ask.

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The pre-LOI screen a buy-side team runs — this is what lands on their desk.
01 // The four surfaces

This is exactly what they'll look at.

A buy-side AI read has three surfaces and a financial foundation. Every one of them is a place your price can move — so every one of them is a place to be ready.

SURFACE 01 Operational AI how you run on AI SURFACE 02 Product AI what you sell as AI SURFACE 03 Market AI whether your market gets rebuilt THE FOUNDATION Financial AI impact what each answer is worth to your price
Operational — why it matters

They will ask for the fallback. Have it built, not promised — promises get escrowed.

Product — why it matters

Your AI revenue claim will meet the usage data. Make sure it survives the meeting.

Market — why it matters

If you don't quantify the moat, the buyer will quantify its absence.

Financial — why it matters

Every surface you leave unanswered becomes a price chip in their hand.

02 // The mirror

Every question they ask is one you could have answered.

The buyer's diligence and your preparation are the same exercise, run by different people, at different costs to you. One ends in a discount. The other ends in a defended price.

WHAT THEIR DILIGENCE FINDS WHAT YOU HAVE READY “The AI revenue isn't real.” Usage data, cohort by cohort — attested. “No fallback if the model fails.” The fallback, built and tested pre-process. “You don't own your training data.” Rights mapped, contracts filed, gaps closed. “This market gets disrupted.” The moat, quantified against the sector. SAME QUESTION · ASKED BY THEM, OR ANSWERED BY YOU
03 // What it protects

An unanswered AI question is a discount with your name on it.

The same finding costs you very differently depending on who surfaces it. Found by them, it's leverage. Found by you, it's a footnote — or a fix you've already made.

The finding
If they find it
If you found it first
AI revenue the usage data won't support
Price reduction · they set the number
Re-based story · you set the number
Automation with no fallback
Escrow / holdback · cash off the table
Fallback built · a strength in the CIM
Unprovable training-data rights
Specific indemnity · open-ended tail
Rights papered · no tail at all
Market disruption over their hold
Earnout · you carry the risk
Quantified moat · they carry it
At stake in the sample deal
$18.7M
— negotiated by them, or defended by you
04 // When to run it

Before the CIM. Not during the Q&A.

Pre-marketing

Readiness Screen

Run the buyer's screen on yourself, while there's still time to fix what it finds.

≈ 10
SME hours included
  • The composite score a buyer would compute
  • The red flags that would trigger on you
  • What to fix now, what to disclose, what to defend
Data room

Vendor AI Assessment

The full, evidence-linked read — in the data room on day one.

≈ 70
SME hours included
  • All eight domains, source-linked and attested
  • The AI story, evidenced rather than asserted
  • Pre-empts the buyer's findings → terms play
  • Management prep for the AI questions

Don't let them price what you haven't checked.

Run the buy-side read on yourself first. We'll tell you what a buyer will find, what it would cost you, and what to fix while you still can.

Get ahead of the buyer →
AI Diligence // lenders & credit

You're lending against cash flows. Do you know what's holding them up?

Increasingly, the answer is a model — one the borrower may not own, may not control, and may not be able to replace. We score the AI dependency behind the cash flows, at underwriting and every quarter of the loan.

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The panel — AI exposure scored across every credit, re-scored over the life of the loan.
01 // The transmission

An AI failure is a credit event — four steps later.

By the time a covenant breaches, the cause is three quarters upstream and nobody underwrote it. The dependency is scoreable at origination; the breach is only observable at the end.

AI dependency the model in the critical path Operational break fallback fails, opex spikes Margin compression gross margin −2.4 pts Cash flow EBITDA ↓ debt service ↓ Covenant DSCR headroom gone THE TRANSMISSION — AN AI FAILURE IS A CREDIT EVENT, FOUR STEPS LATER underwriting scores step one · the covenant only sees step five WHERE WE SIT — AT STEP ONE, BEFORE THE PAPER IS SIGNED We score the AI dependency behind the cash flows you are lending against — and re-score it every quarter of the loan.
02 // The four surfaces, in a credit lens

Four surfaces. One exposure.

The same weighted read the equity gets — read for durability of cash flow rather than upside. Three surfaces, resting on the financial foundation that connects them to your covenants.

SURFACE 01 Operational AI the model in the critical path SURFACE 02 Product AI the AI behind the revenue you're lending on SURFACE 03 Market AI whether the moat outlasts your paper THE FOUNDATION Financial AI impact the link to cash EBITDA · debt service · covenant headroom
Operational — why it matters

A model in the critical path with no fallback is an opex spike and a missed payment.

Product — why it matters

The cash flows you're lending against may be attributed to AI that doesn't do what it claims.

Market — why it matters

The moat must outlast the tenor of your loan, not the borrower's growth story.

Financial — why it matters

This is the surface that connects an AI failure to DSCR and covenant headroom.

03 // How you buy it

Underwrite it once. Then watch it.

At origination

Credit Assessment

The AI exposure behind the borrower's cash flows, before the paper is signed.

≈ 70
SME hours included
  • All eight domains, evidence-linked and attested
  • Continuity, durability, and contingent-risk read
  • Findings mapped to covenants and conditions
  • Credit-committee-ready readout
Over the life of the loan

Portfolio Monitoring

Re-scored every quarter — so the exposure shows up before the covenant does.

≈ 15
SME hours / credit / quarter
  • Quarterly re-score across the book
  • Drift alerts as a borrower's AI position degrades
  • Benchmarks recalibrated as the sector moves
  • Early warning, not post-mortem

Underwrite the AI, not just the EBITDA.

Bring us the credit. We'll score the AI dependency behind the cash flows — at origination, and every quarter after.

Book a scoping call →
AI Diligence // portfolio & value creation

You already own it. Now find the hidden risks and synergies.

Diligence ends at close. The AI risk doesn't. We score the AI across every holding, re-score it every quarter, and tell your operating partners where the hidden risks sit and where the synergies actually are — before the exit process finds out for you.

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Portfolio Intelligence — every holding, scored and re-scored across the hold.
01 // The board

The analysis no deal team can run.

A deal team sees one company. A fund-level read sees the same risk appearing in five of them, the value clustering in three, and the fix for one company already built and running inside another. That is the whole argument for scoring the portfolio rather than the deal.

01.1

The roll call

Every holding on one composite, ranked worst first, against the sector baseline — with the movement since entry.

THE ROLL CALL · WORST FIRST · ARROW = MOVEMENT SINCE ENTRY 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 BASELINE 3.6 Meridian Health 1.8 ▼ 0.3 exit 2027 Vanta Systems 2.4 exit 2027 Atlas Insurance 2.8 ▼ 0.2 exit 2026 Corvus Logistics 2.9 ▲ 0.3 exit 2028 Beacon Industrial 3.3 ▼ 0.1 exit 2026 Northwind SaaS 3.6 ▲ 0.4 exit 2029 Halcyon Data 4.1 ▲ 0.2 exit 2030 Pinnacle Services 4.3 exit 2028
Meridian has lost 0.3 since you bought it. Nobody filed a board paper about that.
01.2

Concentration of risk

The same exposure, appearing in holding after holding. Correlated risk is invisible from inside any single company — and it is the only kind that can hit the whole fund at once.

THE SAME RISK, MORE THAN ONCE · CORRELATED EXPOSURE ACROSS THE FUND Single model-vendor dependency No fallback for a critical model Unproven training- data rights Ungoverned model in a regulated process Data quality below the models built on it Meridian Health Vanta Systems Corvus Logistics Atlas Insurance Beacon Industrial Northwind SaaS Halcyon Data Pinnacle Services FUND EXPOSURE 5 of 8 5 of 8 3 of 8 3 of 8 2 of 8
Five of eight holdings depend on a single model vendor, and five run a critical model with no fallback. That isn't eight company risks. It's one fund risk, held eight times.
The correlated stress test

If your primary model vendor reprices inference by 30%, or deprecates the model your holdings are built on:

5holdings hit at once
≈ $4.6Maggregate EBITDA exposure, in the same quarter
0of them would see it coming from inside their own P&L

No deal team can answer this question. A fund-level read answers it every quarter.

01.3

Concentration of value

The upside is not spread evenly. Knowing where it clusters is the difference between a value-creation plan and a to-do list.

WHERE THE VALUE ACTUALLY IS · $44.3M TOTAL $11.7M Vanta $9.3M Meridian $6.2M Corvus $6.2M Atlas $5.8M Northwind $5.1M Beacon 61% 100% CUMULATIVE — THE TOP THREE HOLDINGS CARRY 61% OF THE VALUE ON THE TABLE
Three holdings carry 61% of the value on the table. Start there — and stop spending operating-partner time on the rest.
01.4

The synergy map — what one holding can lend another

The fix a portfolio company needs is often already built, tested, and running in a company you also own. We map the assets against the needs.

ALREADY BUILT, SOMEWHERE IN THE FUND ASSET · AND WHO OWNS IT HOLDINGS THAT NEED IT Meridian Health Vanta Systems Corvus Logistics Halcyon Data Eval & fallback harness owned by Halcyon Data transferable value · $3.4M Data-rights framework owned by Pinnacle Services transferable value · $2.8M Inference cost routing owned by Northwind SaaS transferable value · $1.9M Model governance pack owned by Atlas Insurance transferable value · $1.2M TRANSFERABLE VALUE — NO NEW BUILD REQUIRED $9.3M + consolidated vendor spend across 6 holdings — one rate, not six
$9.3M of the upside requires no new build. It's transfer — an eval harness here, a data-rights framework there, one vendor rate instead of six.
01.5

Exit readiness

Score against the exit calendar. A holding below the baseline with a process starting in eighteen months is the most actionable fact in the fund.

WHO GOES TO MARKET BELOW THE BASELINE — AND HOW SOON EXIT WINDOW · BELOW BASELINE SECTOR BASELINE 3.6 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Meridian Vanta Corvus Atlas Beacon Northwind Halcyon Pinnacle 4 HOLDINGS WILL GO TO MARKET BELOW THE AI BASELINE INSIDE 24 MONTHS — the buyer's diligence will find what yours didn't. Fix it before the process starts.
Four holdings will meet a buyer's AI diligence below the baseline within 24 months. You know what happens next — you do it to other people for a living.
01.6

Key-person concentration

The bus factor: how many people could leave before the AI stops working. In most portfolio companies the honest answer is one — and nobody has written it down.

WHO COULD WALK OUT WITH THE CAPABILITY BUS FACTOR — PEOPLE WHO COULD LEAVE BEFORE THE AI STOPS WORKING DOCS EVAL SUITE Meridian Health 1 Vanta Systems 1 Corvus Logistics 1 Atlas Insurance 3 Beacon Industrial 2 Northwind SaaS 4 Halcyon Data 5 Pinnacle Services 4 3 OF 8 holdings lose their AI capability if one person resigns — no docs, no eval suite, no handover
Three holdings lose their AI capability if a single person resigns — no documentation, no eval suite, no handover. That's not a technology risk. It's a retention problem with an EBITDA number attached.
01.7

Data-network pairings

The offensive play. Two holdings whose combined data creates an asset that neither one could build alone — and that no competitor can replicate, because no competitor owns both companies.

DATA THAT IS ONLY VALUABLE IN PAIRS Claims + underwriting → risk-priced care model $3.2M combined value consent / PHI basis required Telematics + OT sensor → uptime and route model $2.6M combined value clean — both wholly owned Product telemetry → AI feature benchmark $1.8M combined value customer contract review Meridian Health Atlas Insurance Corvus Logistics Beacon Industrial Vanta Systems Northwind SaaS COMBINED-DATA VALUE $7.6M no combination proceeds without a data-rights opinion
$7.6M of value that only exists because you own both sides. This is the one advantage a fund has that a strategic buyer doesn't — and almost nobody harvests it. Caveat that matters: no combination proceeds without a data-rights opinion. Customer contracts, privacy basis, and competition law all bind here — the healthcare pairing in particular cannot move without a lawful basis for the PHI.
01.8

Playbook velocity

What makes the synergy map compound: the same fix gets dramatically cheaper each time it moves to the next holding. Build once, deploy four times.

THE SECOND TIME IS CHEAPER. THE THIRD IS ALMOST FREE. WEEKS TO DEPLOY — THE SAME FIX, MOVING THROUGH THE PORTFOLIO Halcyon Data build it once 14 wks Vanta Systems first transfer 6 wks Meridian Health second transfer 4 wks Corvus Logistics third transfer 3 wks −79% deploy time THE POINT the portfolio stops being eight companies and starts being one compounding capability
Fourteen weeks to build the first time. Three by the third transfer — a 79% drop. That is the moment a portfolio stops being eight separate companies and starts being one compounding capability.
Illustrative fund · sample scores and values. Bands: 1.0–1.9 AI-deficient · 2.0–2.9 significant risk · 3.0–3.9 capable with gaps · 4.0–5.0 AI-ready.
02 // Hidden risks and synergies

A score at entry is a photograph. AI risk is a film.

The models change under them. The vendor reprices. A competitor rebuilds the category. A company that scored 3.0 at close can be a 2.1 two years later without a single board paper mentioning it — and the first person to notice will be the buyer in your exit process.

Drift

Quiet degradation

The AI position erodes while the P&L still looks fine. Re-scoring surfaces it while there's still hold left to fix it.

Concentration

The same risk, five times

Four holdings on the same model vendor is a fund-level exposure that no single deal team could ever see.

Synergy

What worked over there

The fix that created 2.4 margin points in one company is a playbook for the next three.

03 // The upside

Every risk is also a lever. Across the whole fund.

Each AI fix does two jobs: it remediates the value at risk, and it creates new value on top — margin, revenue, operating leverage. Priced per holding, it becomes a portfolio-wide value-creation plan rather than a list of IT projects.

VALUE ON THE TABLE, HOLDING BY HOLDING Meridian Health $9.3M Vanta Systems $11.7M Corvus Logistics $6.2M Atlas Insurance $6.2M Northwind SaaS $5.8M Beacon Industrial $5.1M PORTFOLIO TOTAL $44.3M Remediation — risk removed Creation — new margin & revenue
Illustrative · remediation figures reconcile to the value at risk identified in each company's assessment.
04 // How you buy it

Subscribe the fund. Not the deal.

Annual subscription · per fund

Portfolio Intelligence

Every holding scored and re-scored, with the value-creation plan tracked against the original thesis.

≈ 15
SME hours / holding / quarter
  • Quarterly re-score across every holding
  • Drift alerts before the number moves
  • Fund-level concentration and vendor exposure
  • Value-creation plan tracked to the thesis
  • Annual deep-dive per company
Per company

Confirmatory Assessment

The full eight-domain read — for a new acquisition, or a holding you've never scored.

≈ 70
SME hours included
  • All eight domains, evidence-linked and attested
  • Management and technical interviews
  • Findings → value-creation plan working session
  • Board-ready readout

Your exit buyer will score the AI. Score it first.

We'll read every holding in the fund, tell you which one is going backwards, and price what fixing it is worth — while you still have hold period left to act.

Score the portfolio →
AI Diligence // industry coverage

Industry-specific failure modes. Cross-cutting business-model patterns.

We read every target twice. Once against the failure modes that actually turn up in its industry — payer rules, inference margins, model governance, plant fallbacks. And once against the business-model patterns that cut straight across all seven sectors — because AI risk follows business models, not industry lines. The specialist knows the symptom. We know the symptom, the pattern, and where the fix has already been built.

02 // The pattern library

The same failure, wearing different clothes.

Seven business-model patterns account for most of the AI value destruction we find. Almost none of them belong to a single industry — which is precisely why a single-industry adviser keeps meeting them for the first time.

THE PATTERN LIBRARY · THE SAME FAILURE, WEARING DIFFERENT CLOTHES HEALTH SOFTWARE INSURANCE INDUSTRIALS SERVICES AI INFRA PAYMENTS Labor-leverage collapse revenue per head breaks 6/7 Model in the critical path, no fallback the loop has no human left in it 7/7 Thin wrapper, borrowed moat someone else owns the model 6/7 Regulated decision model the model is a supervised artifact 4/7 Unowned data & provenance training data they can't prove they own 6/7 Demand narrative inside the multiple the story is priced, the cash isn't 5/7 Key-person dependency one resignation from losing it 7/7 SECTORS TWO PATTERNS APPEAR IN ALL SEVEN — and not one of them is unique to a single industry Common and severe Present Rare
03 // The translation

One pattern. Seven disguises.

Take the most common pattern we find — a model sitting in the critical path with no fallback. It appears in all seven sectors, and in every one of them the operators call it something else. That's why it goes unscoped.

Sector
What it looks like on the ground
What it actually costs
Healthcare
A prior-auth bot drifts
denial rate climbs, quietly
Software
The inference provider has an outage
SLA breach, then churn
Insurance
Claims automation stalls
backlog, and a conduct question
Industrials
Predictive maintenance misses
downtime — and a safety file
Services
The AI drafting tool fails
delivery capacity, gone in a day
AI infra
The demand model is wrong
capacity built for nobody
Payments
The fraud model drifts
loss rate, straight to EBITDA
Same pattern. Same fix. Seven different vocabularies — and seven sets of advisers who have each only seen one.
04 // The cross-industry dividend

We solve it once. You get it already solved.

Because the patterns repeat, the fixes travel. The failover harness we built for a distribution business is the one a payments platform needs — and the second build is always a fraction of the first. That is the compounding advantage of a partner who works across industries, and it is the one thing a sector specialist structurally cannot offer.

BUILT ONCE, IN ONE INDUSTRY. DEPLOYED IN THE NEXT. THE FIX · AND WHERE WE FIRST BUILT IT WHERE IT GOES NEXT Healthcare Payments Software Industrials Services Fallback & failover harness first built in Industrials 14 wks → 3 wks Model governance pack first built in Insurance 11 wks → 4 wks Drift & eval monitoring suite first built in Software 9 wks → 2 wks Data-rights framework first built in Healthcare 12 wks → 5 wks A single-sector adviser can only ever solve it for the first time.
Pattern recognition

We've seen it before

The first time a pattern appears in your sector, it's a crisis. It may be the fortieth time we've seen it — just wearing a different uniform.

Transferable fixes

The build is already done

Remediation playbooks move between industries. You pay for the second deployment, not the first.

Cross-portfolio synergy

Assets that travel

For funds holding assets across sectors, the eval harness in one company is the missing control in another. We map it.

Deep in your sector. Fluent in all of them.

Bring us the target. We'll read it with the failure modes of its own industry — and with the patterns we've already found in the other six.

Book a scoping call →
AI Diligence // Healthcare services

The AI is in the chart. The risk is in the reimbursement.

Ambient scribes, coding automation, prior-auth bots, triage tools. In healthcare services the AI sits inside the revenue cycle and the clinical record — which means an AI finding is never just an IT finding. It's revenue integrity, regulatory tail, and PHI exposure.

axiom · assessment — healthcare services targetLive
Rendering…
The confirmatory assessment — the actual product, not a mockup.
01 // The four surfaces

Four surfaces, read for this sector.

The method doesn't change. What changes is where the risk concentrates — and in healthcare services, it concentrates hard.

SURFACE 01 Operational AI coding, RCM, prior-auth, scheduling, triage SURFACE 02 Product AI what the platform sells to payers and providers SURFACE 03 Market AI payers repricing as cost-to-serve falls THE FOUNDATION Financial AI impact every finding, priced revenue integrity · margin · tail risk
Operational — why it matters

Coding and prior-auth automation sits directly in the revenue cycle. A drifting model is a denial rate, not a bug report.

Product — why it matters

Clinical-facing AI can be a regulated device. If it's making a claim about care, someone has to own that claim.

Market — why it matters

As AI cuts cost-to-serve, payers reprice. The margin you're underwriting may be temporary by design.

Financial — why it matters

In healthcare the tail is the deal: PHI in a training set is an indemnity, not a footnote.

02 // The failure modes

What typically breaks in healthcare services.

These are the findings we look for first — ranked by how often they turn up, and what they hit when they do.

WHAT TYPICALLY BREAKS HOW OFTEN WE SEE IT WHAT IT HITS FINANCIAL PHI used in model training without a BAA or consent path Indemnity · regulatory tail OPERATIONAL Coding / RCM automation drifting against payer rule changes Denial rate · revenue integrity PRODUCT Clinical-facing AI that may meet the device definition Regulatory · liability OPERATIONAL Ambient documentation accuracy never independently validated Clinical risk · audit exposure MARKET AI-attributed margin that payers will reprice at renewal EBITDA durability
Frequency reflects what we look for and how often it surfaces in this sector — not a published benchmark. Sector baselines are built from completed engagements and released only when the sample supports them.
03 // One finding, priced

A finding is only real when it has a number.

The finding
Value at risk
What it becomes
Prior-auth automation trained on a payer ruleset that changed 14 months ago
$4.8M
Price reduction · escrow pending revalidation
Why it matters
Denial rate degradation not yet visible in the P&L
Illustrative finding · representative of this sector, not a specific client engagement.
04 // How you buy it

Screen fast. Then go deep.

Pre-LOI

Flash Screen

A go/no-go read before the diligence budget commits.

≈ 10
SME hours included
  • Composite score and red-flag triggers
  • Sector failure modes checked first
  • Screen memo: proceed, price, or pass
Confirmatory

Full Assessment

The IC-defensible read, sized to your window.

≈ 70
SME hours included
  • All eight weighted domains, evidence-linked
  • Management and technical interviews
  • Findings → terms working session
  • IC readout and 100-day plan input

Don't sign for AI you haven't seen.

Bring us the target. We'll score the AI behind it — with the healthcare services failure modes checked first — and hand your deal team the price, the terms, or the walk.

Book a scoping call →
AI Diligence // Software / SaaS

They sell AI. You're buying the gross margin.

In software the AI question is a margin question and a moat question. An “AI-native” product built on someone else's model has someone else's cost curve and someone else's roadmap — and the multiple you're paying assumes neither.

axiom · assessment — software targetLive
Rendering…
The confirmatory assessment — the actual product, not a mockup.
01 // The four surfaces

Four surfaces, read for this sector.

The method doesn't change. What changes is where the risk concentrates — and in software / saas, it concentrates hard.

SURFACE 01 Operational AI how the company runs on AI internally SURFACE 02 Product AI the AI in the product and in the ARR SURFACE 03 Market AI the feature becoming a platform primitive THE FOUNDATION Financial AI impact every finding, priced gross margin · ARR quality · multiple
Operational — why it matters

Internal AI is rarely the risk here — but the inference bill is, and it lands in COGS.

Product — why it matters

AI-attributed ARR is the whole thesis. Does the usage data support the revenue claim, cohort by cohort?

Market — why it matters

The most dangerous sentence in software: “the model provider could ship this next quarter.”

Financial — why it matters

A SaaS multiple assumes SaaS margins. Inference cost per seat can quietly turn 80% into 60%.

02 // The failure modes

What typically breaks in software / saas.

These are the findings we look for first — ranked by how often they turn up, and what they hit when they do.

WHAT TYPICALLY BREAKS HOW OFTEN WE SEE IT WHAT IT HITS FINANCIAL Inference cost per seat compressing gross margin as usage grows Gross margin · the multiple PRODUCT “AI-native” product that is a thin wrapper on a third-party model Moat · defensibility PRODUCT AI-attributed ARR the usage data won't support Revenue quality OPERATIONAL Single-vendor model concentration with no abstraction layer Continuity · repricing risk FINANCIAL Customer data used in training without contractual right Breach · indemnity MARKET The feature becoming a native primitive of the platform Terminal value
Frequency reflects what we look for and how often it surfaces in this sector — not a published benchmark. Sector baselines are built from completed engagements and released only when the sample supports them.
03 // One finding, priced

A finding is only real when it has a number.

The finding
Value at risk
What it becomes
AI feature set is a prompt layer on a third-party model, sold as proprietary IP
$6.2M
Price reduction · revised operating model
Why it matters
Growth thesis and multiple both assume a moat that isn't there
Illustrative finding · representative of this sector, not a specific client engagement.
04 // How you buy it

Screen fast. Then go deep.

Pre-LOI

Flash Screen

A go/no-go read before the diligence budget commits.

≈ 10
SME hours included
  • Composite score and red-flag triggers
  • Sector failure modes checked first
  • Screen memo: proceed, price, or pass
Confirmatory

Full Assessment

The IC-defensible read, sized to your window.

≈ 70
SME hours included
  • All eight weighted domains, evidence-linked
  • Management and technical interviews
  • Findings → terms working session
  • IC readout and 100-day plan input

Don't sign for AI you haven't seen.

Bring us the target. We'll score the AI behind it — with the software / saas failure modes checked first — and hand your deal team the price, the terms, or the walk.

Book a scoping call →
AI Diligence // Insurance & financial services

The model is the product. The regulator knows it.

Underwriting, pricing, claims, fraud, credit decisioning — in financial services the AI is the operating model, and it runs inside a supervisory regime. An ungoverned model isn't a technical debt item. It's an exam finding, a remediation order, and a fine.

axiom · assessment — financial services targetLive
Rendering…
The confirmatory assessment — the actual product, not a mockup.
01 // The four surfaces

Four surfaces, read for this sector.

The method doesn't change. What changes is where the risk concentrates — and in insurance & financial services, it concentrates hard.

SURFACE 01 Operational AI underwriting, claims, fraud, servicing SURFACE 02 Product AI the pricing and decisioning models SURFACE 03 Market AI the supervisory perimeter moving THE FOUNDATION Financial AI impact every finding, priced capital · remediation · fines
Operational — why it matters

Claims and servicing automation touches the customer outcome the regulator examines.

Product — why it matters

A pricing model is a regulated artifact. If it can't be explained, it can't be defended — in an exam or in court.

Market — why it matters

The supervisory perimeter is moving faster than the models. Today's compliant model is tomorrow's finding.

Financial — why it matters

Here the AI finding becomes a number the hard way: remediation cost, capital, and penalty.

02 // The failure modes

What typically breaks in insurance & financial services.

These are the findings we look for first — ranked by how often they turn up, and what they hit when they do.

WHAT TYPICALLY BREAKS HOW OFTEN WE SEE IT WHAT IT HITS OPERATIONAL Pricing or underwriting model with no documented governance (SR 11-7 style) Exam finding · remediation PRODUCT Decisioning model that cannot produce an adverse-action explanation Fair-lending · legal exposure PRODUCT Disparate-impact testing never performed on a live pricing model Fines · remediation · reputational OPERATIONAL Third-party model vendor outside the outsourcing control framework Supervisory · continuity OPERATIONAL Claims automation optimizing a metric the regulator reads as bad faith Litigation · conduct risk FINANCIAL Model inventory that doesn't match the models actually in production Control failure · capital
Frequency reflects what we look for and how often it surfaces in this sector — not a published benchmark. Sector baselines are built from completed engagements and released only when the sample supports them.
03 // One finding, priced

A finding is only real when it has a number.

The finding
Value at risk
What it becomes
Live pricing model with no disparate-impact testing and no explainability path
$5.4M
Remediation escrow · specific indemnity
Why it matters
A supervisory finding waiting to happen, in a book you're about to own
Illustrative finding · representative of this sector, not a specific client engagement.
04 // How you buy it

Screen fast. Then go deep.

Pre-LOI

Flash Screen

A go/no-go read before the diligence budget commits.

≈ 10
SME hours included
  • Composite score and red-flag triggers
  • Sector failure modes checked first
  • Screen memo: proceed, price, or pass
Confirmatory

Full Assessment

The IC-defensible read, sized to your window.

≈ 70
SME hours included
  • All eight weighted domains, evidence-linked
  • Management and technical interviews
  • Findings → terms working session
  • IC readout and 100-day plan input

Don't sign for AI you haven't seen.

Bring us the target. We'll score the AI behind it — with the insurance & financial services failure modes checked first — and hand your deal team the price, the terms, or the walk.

Book a scoping call →
AI Diligence // Industrials & distribution

The AI runs the floor. Nobody wrote down what happens when it stops.

Forecasting, pricing, routing, predictive maintenance, vision inspection. In industrials the AI is wired into physical operations — so the failure mode isn't a bad dashboard, it's downtime, scrap, stranded inventory, and a safety file.

axiom · assessment — industrials targetLive
Rendering…
The confirmatory assessment — the actual product, not a mockup.
01 // The four surfaces

Four surfaces, read for this sector.

The method doesn't change. What changes is where the risk concentrates — and in industrials & distribution, it concentrates hard.

SURFACE 01 Operational AI forecasting, routing, maintenance, inspection SURFACE 02 Product AI what's sold as “smart” or connected SURFACE 03 Market AI competitors rebuilding the cost curve THE FOUNDATION Financial AI impact every finding, priced opex · working capital · uptime
Operational — why it matters

This is the surface that matters here. A model in the critical path with no fallback is downtime, and downtime is cash.

Product — why it matters

“Smart” products carry a promise. If the model underperforms, the warranty is real and so is the recall.

Market — why it matters

If a competitor's AI takes 3 points out of their cost curve, your pricing power is gone before the hold ends.

Financial — why it matters

Forecasting AI sets inventory. A bad model is working capital — the most expensive kind of quiet.

02 // The failure modes

What typically breaks in industrials & distribution.

These are the findings we look for first — ranked by how often they turn up, and what they hit when they do.

WHAT TYPICALLY BREAKS HOW OFTEN WE SEE IT WHAT IT HITS OPERATIONAL Demand forecasting model driving inventory with no human override Working capital · stranded stock OPERATIONAL Predictive maintenance in the critical path with no fallback procedure Downtime · safety file OPERATIONAL Vision inspection tuned once, never revalidated against defect drift Scrap · recall exposure PRODUCT Dynamic pricing model nobody in the business can explain Margin · channel conflict OPERATIONAL AI embedded in an ERP/WMS module with hard vendor lock-in Continuity · repricing FINANCIAL Sensor/OT data quality too poor to support the models built on it The whole AI thesis
Frequency reflects what we look for and how often it surfaces in this sector — not a published benchmark. Sector baselines are built from completed engagements and released only when the sample supports them.
03 // One finding, priced

A finding is only real when it has a number.

The finding
Value at risk
What it becomes
Demand forecasting model driving automatic replenishment, with no override and no back-test since 2023
$3.9M
Working-capital adjustment · 100-day remediation
Why it matters
Inventory decisions made by a model the business can't challenge
Illustrative finding · representative of this sector, not a specific client engagement.
04 // How you buy it

Screen fast. Then go deep.

Pre-LOI

Flash Screen

A go/no-go read before the diligence budget commits.

≈ 10
SME hours included
  • Composite score and red-flag triggers
  • Sector failure modes checked first
  • Screen memo: proceed, price, or pass
Confirmatory

Full Assessment

The IC-defensible read, sized to your window.

≈ 70
SME hours included
  • All eight weighted domains, evidence-linked
  • Management and technical interviews
  • Findings → terms working session
  • IC readout and 100-day plan input

Don't sign for AI you haven't seen.

Bring us the target. We'll score the AI behind it — with the industrials & distribution failure modes checked first — and hand your deal team the price, the terms, or the walk.

Book a scoping call →
AI Diligence // Business & professional services

You're buying billable hours. AI is repricing them.

Staffing, accounting, agencies, engineering, BPO. Here AI doesn't threaten a system — it threatens the delivery model itself. The question isn't whether they use AI. It's whether the work they sell survives it, and whether the headcount leverage your model depends on still holds.

axiom · assessment — professional services targetLive
Rendering…
The confirmatory assessment — the actual product, not a mockup.
01 // The four surfaces

Four surfaces, read for this sector.

The method doesn't change. What changes is where the risk concentrates — and in business & professional services, it concentrates hard.

SURFACE 01 Operational AI how the work gets delivered · utilization SURFACE 02 Product AI the deliverable itself — what the client pays for SURFACE 03 Market AI whether the client still needs the firm THE FOUNDATION Financial AI impact every finding, priced revenue per head · leverage · margin
Operational — why it matters

Delivery is people. If AI does a third of the work, the leverage model changes and the margin moves — up if the firm owns it, down if a competitor does.

Product — why it matters

The deliverable is the product. If the client can now generate it themselves, you're buying a commodity at professional-services prices.

Market — why it matters

Price compression arrives from the client side: procurement is already benchmarking the fee against what AI costs them to do it in-house.

Financial — why it matters

This whole asset class runs on revenue per head. AI breaks the link between headcount and revenue — in both directions, and only one of them is in your model.

02 // The failure modes

What typically breaks in business & professional services.

These are the findings we look for first — ranked by how often they turn up, and what they hit when they do.

WHAT TYPICALLY BREAKS HOW OFTEN WE SEE IT WHAT IT HITS MARKET Fees still priced on hours that AI now completes in minutes Revenue model · price compression OPERATIONAL Pyramid leverage that collapses if AI does the junior work The whole thesis PRODUCT Deliverables the client could now produce in-house Churn · commoditization FINANCIAL Client data pushed through AI tools with no engagement-letter basis Breach · professional liability OPERATIONAL Productivity gains banked by the firm but not repriced to clients Margin — fragile, not durable OPERATIONAL Delivery IP that lives in senior heads, not in systems Transferability · key-person
Frequency reflects what we look for and how often it surfaces in this sector — not a published benchmark. Sector baselines are built from completed engagements and released only when the sample supports them.
03 // One finding, priced

A finding is only real when it has a number.

The finding
Value at risk
What it becomes
Fees priced per hour on work the firm's own AI tools already complete in a fraction of the time
$5.1M
Revised revenue model · earnout tied to client retention
Why it matters
Procurement will find this at the next renewal, and reprice the whole book
Illustrative finding · representative of this sector, not a specific client engagement.
04 // How you buy it

Screen fast. Then go deep.

Pre-LOI

Flash Screen

A go/no-go read before the diligence budget commits.

≈ 10
SME hours included
  • Composite score and red-flag triggers
  • Sector failure modes checked first
  • Screen memo: proceed, price, or pass
Confirmatory

Full Assessment

The IC-defensible read, sized to your window.

≈ 70
SME hours included
  • All eight weighted domains, evidence-linked
  • Management and technical interviews
  • Findings → terms working session
  • IC readout and 100-day plan input

Don't sign for AI you haven't seen.

Bring us the target. We'll score the AI behind it — with the business & professional services failure modes checked first — and hand your deal team the price, the terms, or the walk.

Book a scoping call →
AI Diligence // AI infrastructure & specialty industrials

You're paying an AI multiple. We tell you if the AI demand is real.

Cooling, power, thermal management, electrical, data-center fit-out. These businesses now command the richest valuations in the market — on the assumption the AI capex keeps coming. So the diligence question inverts: not is their AI real? but is the demand you're underwriting durable — and what is this worth if the capex pauses?

axiom · assessment — AI infrastructure targetLive
Rendering…
The confirmatory assessment — the actual product, not a mockup.
01 // The four surfaces

Four surfaces, read for this sector.

The method doesn't change. What changes is where the risk concentrates — and in ai infrastructure & specialty industrials, it concentrates hard.

SURFACE 01 Operational AI how they run — real, but the smallest risk here SURFACE 02 Product AI specified into AI builds, or a commodity nearby SURFACE 03 Market AI the demand curve · hyperscaler capex THE FOUNDATION Financial AI impact every finding, priced backlog quality · the multiple
Operational — why it matters

The plant still has to run — but in this sector operational AI is the smallest risk on the page. The risk is the demand curve.

Product — why it matters

The question that decides the multiple: is this genuinely specified into AI builds, or a commodity repriced for sitting next to one?

Market — why it matters

Customer concentration is the whole game. Three procurement teams deciding to pause isn't a market correction — it's your revenue.

Financial — why it matters

Ask the uncomfortable question out loud: how much of this enterprise value is AI narrative, and what is the multiple without it?

02 // The failure modes

What typically breaks in ai infrastructure & specialty industrials.

These are the findings we look for first — ranked by how often they turn up, and what they hit when they do.

WHAT TYPICALLY BREAKS HOW OFTEN WE SEE IT WHAT IT HITS MARKET Revenue concentrated in two or three hyperscaler customers Revenue cliff · the multiple MARKET No modeled scenario for a hyperscaler capex pause The hold thesis FINANCIAL Order book carried as backlog with no binding capacity commitment Backlog quality · valuation PRODUCT Commodity product repriced by proximity to AI, not by specification Durability of the multiple FINANCIAL Expansion capex underwritten on a demand curve nobody stress-tested Stranded capex · working capital MARKET Margin lifted by a supply shortage that eventually resolves Gross margin normalization
Frequency reflects what we look for and how often it surfaces in this sector — not a published benchmark. Sector baselines are built from completed engagements and released only when the sample supports them.
03 // One finding, priced

A finding is only real when it has a number.

The finding
Value at risk
What it becomes
62% of revenue from two hyperscaler customers, with no binding multi-year capacity commitment
$8.4M
Earnout tied to backlog conversion · revised hold thesis
Why it matters
The multiple assumes a demand curve that three procurement teams control
Illustrative finding · representative of this sector, not a specific client engagement.
04 // How you buy it

Screen fast. Then go deep.

Pre-LOI

Flash Screen

A go/no-go read before the diligence budget commits.

≈ 10
SME hours included
  • Composite score and red-flag triggers
  • Sector failure modes checked first
  • Screen memo: proceed, price, or pass
Confirmatory

Full Assessment

The IC-defensible read, sized to your window.

≈ 70
SME hours included
  • All eight weighted domains, evidence-linked
  • Management and technical interviews
  • Findings → terms working session
  • IC readout and 100-day plan input

Don't sign for AI you haven't seen.

Bring us the target. We'll score the AI behind it — with the ai infrastructure & specialty industrials failure modes checked first — and hand your deal team the price, the terms, or the walk.

Book a scoping call →
AI Diligence // Payments & fintech

The model approves the payment. And owns the loss.

Fraud scoring, credit decisioning, KYC and AML, dispute automation. In payments the AI sits directly on the money — every model decision is an authorization, a loss, or a regulatory finding. And the take rate you're underwriting rests on models no one in the deal team has ever opened.

axiom · assessment — payments / fintech targetLive
Rendering…
The confirmatory assessment — the actual product, not a mockup.
01 // The four surfaces

Four surfaces, read for this sector.

The method doesn't change. What changes is where the risk concentrates — and in payments & fintech, it concentrates hard.

SURFACE 01 Operational AI fraud, AML, disputes, onboarding SURFACE 02 Product AI risk and credit decisioning sold to merchants SURFACE 03 Market AI agentic checkout rerouting the volume THE FOUNDATION Financial AI impact every finding, priced loss rate · take rate · reserves
Operational — why it matters

Fraud and AML models are the line between a loss provision and a consent order. Both have a number, and both land on you.

Product — why it matters

If risk decisioning is what they sell, the model is the IP — and it may turn out to be a vendor's model with a wrapper on it.

Market — why it matters

Agentic commerce is changing who initiates a payment. If an agent chooses the rails, checkout placement stops being an asset.

Financial — why it matters

Loss rate, take rate, reserves. A fraud model drifting 40bps is an EBITDA event, not an engineering ticket — and the reserve was set before it drifted.

02 // The failure modes

What typically breaks in payments & fintech.

These are the findings we look for first — ranked by how often they turn up, and what they hit when they do.

WHAT TYPICALLY BREAKS HOW OFTEN WE SEE IT WHAT IT HITS OPERATIONAL Fraud model drifting against a moving attack surface, with no monitoring Loss rate · EBITDA FINANCIAL Reserves modeled on pre-AI fraud loss patterns Reserve adequacy · capital OPERATIONAL AML / KYC screening tuned for false positives, not for an examiner Consent order · remediation PRODUCT Credit decisioning with no adverse-action explanation path Fair-lending · legal exposure PRODUCT Vendor risk models sold to merchants as proprietary IP Moat · IP quality MARKET Take rate assumed durable as agentic checkout reroutes volume Terminal value
Frequency reflects what we look for and how often it surfaces in this sector — not a published benchmark. Sector baselines are built from completed engagements and released only when the sample supports them.
03 // One finding, priced

A finding is only real when it has a number.

The finding
Value at risk
What it becomes
Fraud model last retrained 19 months ago, with loss rates already running 30bps above plan
$7.3M
Reserve true-up · price reduction · escrow
Why it matters
The reserve and the take rate both assume a model that has stopped working
Illustrative finding · representative of this sector, not a specific client engagement.
04 // How you buy it

Screen fast. Then go deep.

Pre-LOI

Flash Screen

A go/no-go read before the diligence budget commits.

≈ 10
SME hours included
  • Composite score and red-flag triggers
  • Sector failure modes checked first
  • Screen memo: proceed, price, or pass
Confirmatory

Full Assessment

The IC-defensible read, sized to your window.

≈ 70
SME hours included
  • All eight weighted domains, evidence-linked
  • Management and technical interviews
  • Findings → terms working session
  • IC readout and 100-day plan input

Don't sign for AI you haven't seen.

Bring us the target. We'll score the AI behind it — with the payments & fintech failure modes checked first — and hand your deal team the price, the terms, or the walk.

Book a scoping call →